Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

307 – 123.04

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

297 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 30 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 463.6 ±10.8

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 174.53Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6721Tindley Trailblazers

Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 79.55Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3487Red Pride Robotics

Season APEX 67Event APEX 52.92Rank 12Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 295.4 ±10.7

135Penn Robotics Black Knights

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 30.93Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1741Red Alert

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 58.18Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

328Penn Robotics Golden Rooks

Season APEX 48.8Event APEX 33.93Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7457, 6721, 3487

/ 100 compat

Projected

307 pts

~2.5 RP (district)

Teams: 7457, 6721, 3487

Auto

58.4 20%

Teleop

190.6 65%

Endgame

46.0 16%

Strengths

· 7457 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 135, 1741, 328

/ 100 compat

Projected

123 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 135, 1741, 328

Auto

23.7 19%

Teleop

69.5 56%

Endgame

32.0 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.52 · Blue 0.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score307pts

Blue projected score123pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 51%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 184
Score range: 91–339
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 370 vs event baseline 177.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

463.6Season APEX295.4

58.4Auto23.7

190.6Teleop69.5

46Endgame32

133Consistency108

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	77	14
teleop	137	47
endgame	68	12
foul	15	0
total	297	73

Result

Final score

297 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 30 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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