Qualification · Qualification 21

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

172.11 – 224.34

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

180 – 305

Prediction correct · off by 44.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 333.1 ±10.4

829The Digital Goats

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 43.84Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4982Olympus Robotics

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 44.74Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5402Wreckless Robotics

Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 83.53Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 369.7 ±11.2

7477Giddy GOATS

Season APEX 33Event APEX 29.35Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1501Team THRUST

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 127.94Rank 2Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6721Tindley Trailblazers

Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 67.05Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 829, 4982, 5402

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 829, 4982, 5402

Auto

69.9 41%

Teleop

64.0 38%

Endgame

35.7 21%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 7477, 1501, 6721

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.3 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 7477, 1501, 6721

Auto

39.5 19%

Teleop

137.0 65%

Endgame

34.8 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.39 · Blue 1.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score172.1pts

Blue projected score224.3pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -52.2
Score range: 141–255
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 485 vs event baseline 172.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

333.1Season APEX369.7

69.9Auto39.5

64Teleop137

35.7Endgame34.8

115Consistency136

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	47
teleop	96	212
endgame	52	46
foul	0	0
total	180	305

Result

Final score

180 – 305

Prediction correct · off by 44.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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