Qualification · Qualification 17

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

165.51 – 139.33

58%42%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

134 – 228

Prediction missed · off by 60.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 190.2 ±12.2

829The Digital Goats

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 40.31Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7198Fearsome Gears

Season APEX 26.7Event APEX 52.47Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1555CryoFrost

Season APEX 46.7Event APEX 72.73Rank 14Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 285.4 ±11

6721Tindley Trailblazers

Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 55.04Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7617RoboBlazers

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 59.55Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

292PantherTech

Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 24.74Rank 20Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 829, 7198, 1555

/ 100 compat

Projected

165.5 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 829, 7198, 1555

Auto

24.9 15%

Teleop

88.4 54%

Endgame

50.0 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6721, 7617, 292

/ 100 compat

Projected

139.3 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 6721, 7617, 292

Auto

9.9 7%

Teleop

83.9 63%

Endgame

39.8 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.82 · Blue 1.48

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score165.5pts

Blue projected score139.3pts

Red win probability58%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 26.2
Score range: 108–197
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 362 vs event baseline 173.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

190.2Season APEX285.4

24.9Auto9.9

88.4Teleop83.9

50Endgame39.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	20
teleop	68	127
endgame	21	66
foul	0	15
total	134	228

Result

Final score

134 – 228

Prediction missed · off by 60.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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