Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

304.7 – 162.36

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

310 – 189

Prediction correct · off by 16 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 476.1 ±10

1646Precision Guessworks

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 97.1Rank 15Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

71Team Hammond

Season APEX 43.5Event APEX 44.88Rank 25Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 162.72Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 251.9 ±10.7

135Penn Robotics Black Knights

Season APEX 82.9Event APEX 33.64Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

234Cyber Blue

Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 87.34Rank 18Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10332Carroll Charger Robotics

Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 41.38Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1646, 71, 7457

/ 100 compat

Projected

304.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1646, 71, 7457

Auto

53.0 18%

Teleop

182.4 61%

Endgame

65.4 22%

Strengths

· 7457 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 135, 234, 10332

/ 100 compat

Projected

162.4 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 135, 234, 10332

Auto

22.6 14%

Teleop

101.1 62%

Endgame

39.7 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.4 · Blue 0.88

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score304.7pts

Blue projected score162.4pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 142.3
Score range: 132–335
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 499 vs event baseline 168.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

476.1Season APEX251.9

53Auto22.6

182.4Teleop101.1

65.4Endgame39.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	31
teleop	194	111
endgame	55	47
foul	5	0
total	310	189

Result

Final score

310 – 189

Prediction correct · off by 16 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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