Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

149.78 – 228.42

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

41 – 269

Prediction correct · off by 74.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 193.2 ±12.8

2867ElkLogics

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 46.41Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7477Giddy GOATS

Season APEX 33Event APEX 44.5Rank 31Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4485Tribe Tech Robotics

Season APEX 73.4Event APEX 58.87Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 483.4 ±9.8

4272Maverick Robotics

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 107.2Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

461Westside Boiler Invasion

Season APEX 151.8Event APEX 71.38Rank 7Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4982Olympus Robotics

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 49.84Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2867, 7477, 4485

/ 100 compat

Projected

149.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 2867, 7477, 4485

Auto

25.0 17%

Teleop

81.1 57%

Endgame

37.3 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 3%

Blue · 4272, 461, 4982

/ 100 compat

Projected

228.4 pts

~2.2 RP (district)

Teams: 4272, 461, 4982

Auto

28.7 13%

Teleop

114.3 51%

Endgame

81.4 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 55%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 3%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.17 · Blue 2.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score149.8pts

Blue projected score228.4pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample170alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 55%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 3%, blue 4%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -78.6
Score range: 119–259
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 310 vs event baseline 170.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

193.2Season APEX483.4

25Auto28.7

81.1Teleop114.3

37.3Endgame81.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	88
teleop	21	122
endgame	0	59
foul	5	0
total	41	269

Result

Final score

41 – 269

Prediction correct · off by 74.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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