Qualification · Qualification 11
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
50.44 – 75.55
42%58%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
186 – 134
Prediction missed · off by 97 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 231.9 ±10.5
Season APEX 26.7Event APEX 32.98Rank 34Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 31.84Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 82.9Event APEX -14.38Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 195.2 ±11.7
Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 33.85Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 47.1Event APEX 8.54Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 33.16Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7198, 6721, 135
39
/ 100 compatProjected
50.4 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 7198, 6721, 135
Auto
9.7 21%
Teleop
20.9 45%
Endgame
15.6 34%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2867, 10332, 6956
45
/ 100 compatProjected
75.6 pts
~1.8 RP (district)
Teams: 2867, 10332, 6956
Auto
17.6 23%
Teleop
44.9 59%
Endgame
14.1 18%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 49%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.37 · Blue 1.77
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score50.4pts
Blue projected score75.6pts
Red win probability42%
Event bonus sample170alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 49%, blue 55%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 3%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -25.1
- Score range
- 18–108
- Upset likelihood
- 42%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
231.9Season APEX195.2
9.7Auto17.6
20.9Teleop44.9
15.6Endgame14.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 35 |
| teleop | 133 | 71 |
| endgame | 32 | 23 |
| foul | 0 | 5 |
| total | 186 | 134 |
Result
Final score
186 – 134
Prediction missed · off by 97 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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