Playoff · Playoff Match 6 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

86.62 – 145.77

32%68%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

68 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 11.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 313.8 ±9.8

1747Harrison Boiler Robotics

Season APEX 88.8Event APEX 44.49Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6956SHAM-ROCK-BOTICS ☘

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 33.22Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1741Red Alert

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 8.91Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 351.1 ±11.2

1720PhyXTGears

Season APEX 211.4Event APEX 56.95Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9431Snider Panthers- "The Gold Standard"

Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 58.95Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8103Knight Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 29.87Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1747, 6956, 1741

/ 100 compat

Projected

86.6 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 1747, 6956, 1741

Auto

12.5 15%

Teleop

42.4 50%

Endgame

29.1 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1720, 9431, 8103

/ 100 compat

Projected

145.8 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1720, 9431, 8103

Auto

27.8 20%

Teleop

80.6 57%

Endgame

32.8 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 39%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.08 · Blue 1.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score86.6pts

Blue projected score145.8pts

Red win probability32%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 39%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -59.1
Score range: 65–168
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 210 vs event baseline 124.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

313.8Season APEX351.1

12.5Auto27.8

42.4Teleop80.6

29.1Endgame32.8

4Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	39
teleop	28	57
endgame	28	46
foul	0	0
total	68	142

Result

Final score

68 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 11.2 pts

Match videos

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