Playoff · Playoff Match 4 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

147.27 – 115.62

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

143 – 166

Prediction missed · off by 27.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 351.1 ±11.2

1720PhyXTGears

Season APEX 211.4Event APEX 57.4Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9431Snider Panthers- "The Gold Standard"

Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 59.67Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8103Knight Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 30.2Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 246.1 ±10.4

45TechnoKats Robotics Team

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 38.99Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9491Crypto Creek

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 21.21Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9119Iron Legends

Season APEX 79.6Event APEX 55.42Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1720, 9431, 8103

/ 100 compat

Projected

147.3 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 1720, 9431, 8103

Auto

23.6 17%

Teleop

82.8 58%

Endgame

36.1 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 45, 9491, 9119

/ 100 compat

Projected

115.6 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 45, 9491, 9119

Auto

15.0 13%

Teleop

75.7 64%

Endgame

27.2 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.71 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score147.3pts

Blue projected score115.6pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 31.7
Score range: 94–169
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 309 vs event baseline 123.8.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

351.1Season APEX246.1

23.6Auto15

82.8Teleop75.7

36.1Endgame27.2

8Consistency30

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	16
teleop	72	96
endgame	20	54
foul	5	0
total	143	166

Result

Final score

143 – 166

Prediction missed · off by 27.3 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.