Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

299.87 – 61.25

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

220 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 53.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 598.8 ±8.8

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 115.09Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4982Olympus Robotics

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 3.13Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 181.65Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 267.3 ±11

3147Munster Horsepower

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 21.86Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

6498Castle Robotics

Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 45.95Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4926GalacTech

Season APEX 112.5Event APEX -6.56Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1024, 4982, 7457

/ 100 compat

Projected

299.9 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1024, 4982, 7457

Auto

77.6 26%

Teleop

156.7 53%

Endgame

59.9 20%

Strengths

· 7457 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3147, 6498, 4926

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.3 pts

~0.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3147, 6498, 4926

Auto

18.4 31%

Teleop

29.7 50%

Endgame

11.5 19%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.43 · Blue 0.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score299.9pts

Blue projected score61.3pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 35%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 238.6
Score range: 39–322
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 308 vs event baseline 121.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

598.8Season APEX267.3

77.6Auto18.4

156.7Teleop29.7

59.9Endgame11.5

31Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	24
teleop	123	40
endgame	25	19
foul	5	5
total	220	88

Result

Final score

220 – 88

Prediction correct · off by 53.3 pts

Match videos

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