Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

287.78 – 247.86

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

367 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 68.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 598.8 ±8.8

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 110.48Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4982Olympus Robotics

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 0.54Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 176.76Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 550 ±9.3

10434CYBEARS

Season APEX 48Event APEX 19.58Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 110.51Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5010Tiger Dynasty

Season APEX 219Event APEX 117.77Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1024, 4982, 7457

/ 100 compat

Projected

287.8 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 1024, 4982, 7457

Auto

82.8 30%

Teleop

145.3 52%

Endgame

50.1 18%

Strengths

· 7457 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10434, 10021, 5010

/ 100 compat

Projected

247.9 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 10434, 10021, 5010

Auto

35.4 15%

Teleop

139.3 58%

Endgame

64.9 27%

Strengths

· 5010 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.77 · Blue 1.26

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score287.8pts

Blue projected score247.9pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 39.9
Score range: 225–311
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 673 vs event baseline 127.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

598.8Season APEX550

82.8Auto35.4

145.3Teleop139.3

50.1Endgame64.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	91	30
teleop	200	162
endgame	76	114
foul	0	0
total	367	306

Result

Final score

367 – 306

Prediction correct · off by 68.7 pts

Match videos

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