Qualification · Qualification 8
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
129.65 – 122.16
52%48%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
72 – 158
Prediction missed · off by 46.7 points
Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 160.9 ±13.9
Season APEX 46.5Event APEX 22Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 77.97Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 29.68Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 361.2 ±10.5
Season APEX 228.7Event APEX -Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 77.97Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 22Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8431, 5188, 8103
66
/ 100 compatProjected
129.7 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 8431, 5188, 8103
Auto
18.2 14%
Teleop
75.0 59%
Endgame
34.7 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1024, 6956, 292
66
/ 100 compatProjected
122.2 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 1024, 6956, 292
Auto
21.9 18%
Teleop
68.6 56%
Endgame
31.5 26%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 43%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.52 · Blue 1.35
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score129.7pts
Blue projected score122.2pts
Red win probability52%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 43%, blue 36%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 7.5
- Score range
- 98–154
- Upset likelihood
- 48%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
160.9Season APEX361.2
18.2Auto15.3
75Teleop57.5
34.7Endgame27.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 15 | 23 |
| teleop | 25 | 57 |
| endgame | 32 | 43 |
| foul | 0 | 35 |
| total | 72 | 158 |
Result
Final score
72 – 158
Prediction missed · off by 46.7 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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