Qualification · Qualification 73

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

122.45 – 154.99

40%60%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

108 – 219

Prediction correct · off by 39.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 219.5 ±11.7

9431Snider Panthers- "The Gold Standard"

Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 60.97Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8431Robo-Knights

Season APEX 46.5Event APEX 14.42Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1747Harrison Boiler Robotics

Season APEX 88.8Event APEX 47.06Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 388.6 ±10.5

292PantherTech

Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 15.8Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5010Tiger Dynasty

Season APEX 219Event APEX 97.88Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6498Castle Robotics

Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 41.31Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9431, 8431, 1747

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.5 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9431, 8431, 1747

Auto

22.3 18%

Teleop

72.7 59%

Endgame

28.6 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 292, 5010, 6498

/ 100 compat

Projected

155 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 292, 5010, 6498

Auto

22.8 15%

Teleop

88.4 59%

Endgame

39.4 26%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.26 · Blue 1.61

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score122.5pts

Blue projected score155pts

Red win probability40%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -32.5
Score range: 100–177
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 327 vs event baseline 120.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

219.5Season APEX388.6

22.3Auto22.8

72.7Teleop88.4

28.6Endgame39.4

23Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	27	8
teleop	57	130
endgame	24	81
foul	0	0
total	108	219

Result

Final score

108 – 219

Prediction correct · off by 39.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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