Qualification · Qualification 70

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

131.97 – 198.47

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

98 – 267

Prediction correct · off by 51.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 381.1 ±11.2

4926GalacTech

Season APEX 112.5Event APEX -1.7Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 119.54Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3559Thundercats

Season APEX 39.9Event APEX 14.13Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 494.4 ±9.5

3147Munster Horsepower

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 16.68Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 176.69Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1741Red Alert

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 5.1Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4926, 1024, 3559

/ 100 compat

Projected

132 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 4926, 1024, 3559

Auto

36.8 30%

Teleop

48.1 39%

Endgame

38.1 31%

Strengths

· 1024 anchors offense
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3147, 7457, 1741

/ 100 compat

Projected

198.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3147, 7457, 1741

Auto

36.7 19%

Teleop

116.2 59%

Endgame

44.7 23%

Strengths

· 7457 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1 · Blue 1.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score132pts

Blue projected score198.5pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -66.5
Score range: 110–220
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 365 vs event baseline 119.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

381.1Season APEX494.4

36.8Auto36.7

48.1Teleop116.2

38.1Endgame44.7

54Consistency34

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	56	66
teleop	31	150
endgame	6	51
foul	5	0
total	98	267

Result

Final score

98 – 267

Prediction correct · off by 51.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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