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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

148.02346.27

8%92%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

97204

Prediction correct · off by 96.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 254.2 ±9.8
Season APEX 52.7Event APEX -2.9Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 90.36Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 79.6Event APEX 60.56Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 599.1 ±8.8
Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 42.97Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 219Event APEX 119.99Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 183.31Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7657, 234, 9119
64
/ 100 compat
Projected
148 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 7657, 234, 9119
Auto
20.5 14%
Teleop
84.9 59%
Endgame
39.3 27%
Strengths
Weaknesses
  • · Thin autonomous coverage
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 45, 5010, 7457
81
/ 100 compat
Projected
346.3 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 45, 5010, 7457
Auto
52.6 15%
Teleop
207.7 60%
Endgame
84.0 24%
Strengths
  • · 7457 anchors offense
  • · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
  • · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.62 · Blue 2.47
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score148pts
Blue projected score346.3pts
Red win probability8%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-198.2
Score range
124370
Upset likelihood
8%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 301 vs event baseline 135.1.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

254.2Season APEX599.1
20.5Auto52.6
84.9Teleop207.7
39.3Endgame84
30Consistency38

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto634
teleop66134
endgame2536
foul00
total97204

Result

Final score

97204

Prediction correct · off by 96.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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