Qualification · Qualification 7
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
148.02 – 346.27
8%92%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
97 – 204
Prediction correct · off by 96.6 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 254.2 ±9.8
Season APEX 52.7Event APEX -2.9Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 90.36Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 79.6Event APEX 60.56Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 599.1 ±8.8
Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 42.97Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 219Event APEX 119.99Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 183.31Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 7657, 234, 9119
64
/ 100 compatProjected
148 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 7657, 234, 9119
Auto
20.5 14%
Teleop
84.9 59%
Endgame
39.3 27%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 45, 5010, 7457
81
/ 100 compatProjected
346.3 pts
~2.5 RP (district)
Teams: 45, 5010, 7457
Auto
52.6 15%
Teleop
207.7 60%
Endgame
84.0 24%
Strengths
- · 7457 anchors offense
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 42%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.62 · Blue 2.47
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score148pts
Blue projected score346.3pts
Red win probability8%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 42%, blue 57%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -198.2
- Score range
- 124–370
- Upset likelihood
- 8%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
254.2Season APEX599.1
20.5Auto52.6
84.9Teleop207.7
39.3Endgame84
30Consistency38
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 6 | 34 |
| teleop | 66 | 134 |
| endgame | 25 | 36 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 97 | 204 |
Result
Final score
97 – 204
Prediction correct · off by 96.6 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.