Qualification · Qualification 69
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
52.34 – 126.68
28%72%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
41 – 129
Prediction correct · off by 6.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 170 ±12.8
Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 4.42Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 30.71Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 49.4Event APEX 17.21Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 396.2 ±11.2
Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 36.43Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 240.9Event APEX 86.25Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 4Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 8432, 4580, 9071
37
/ 100 compatProjected
52.3 pts
~1.0 RP (district)
Teams: 8432, 4580, 9071
Auto
9.8 21%
Teleop
20.0 44%
Endgame
15.9 35%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 2171, 868, 4982
66
/ 100 compatProjected
126.7 pts
~1.9 RP (district)
Teams: 2171, 868, 4982
Auto
33.6 30%
Teleop
54.0 48%
Endgame
26.0 23%
Strengths
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.98 · Blue 1.94
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score52.3pts
Blue projected score126.7pts
Red win probability28%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 47%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -74.3
- Score range
- 30–149
- Upset likelihood
- 28%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
170Season APEX396.2
9.8Auto33.6
20Teleop54
15.9Endgame26
9Consistency50
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 12 | 31 |
| teleop | 22 | 65 |
| endgame | 7 | 33 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 41 | 129 |
Result
Final score
41 – 129
Prediction correct · off by 6.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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