Qualification · Qualification 66

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

230.9 – 135.54

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

270 – 78

Prediction correct · off by 48.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 434.3 ±10

292PantherTech

Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 12.58Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1747Harrison Boiler Robotics

Season APEX 88.8Event APEX 44.81Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 173.51Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 422.9 ±9.3

8116Hatchet Robotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 65.95Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1720PhyXTGears

Season APEX 211.4Event APEX 65.04Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4926GalacTech

Season APEX 112.5Event APEX 4.55Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 292, 1747, 7457

/ 100 compat

Projected

230.9 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 292, 1747, 7457

Auto

41.8 18%

Teleop

143.4 62%

Endgame

46.3 20%

Strengths

· 7457 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8116, 1720, 4926

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 8116, 1720, 4926

Auto

22.3 17%

Teleop

86.5 65%

Endgame

23.3 18%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.92 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score230.9pts

Blue projected score135.5pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 95.4
Score range: 115–252
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 348 vs event baseline 119.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

434.3Season APEX422.9

41.8Auto22.3

143.4Teleop86.5

46.3Endgame23.3

38Consistency52

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	58	24
teleop	144	23
endgame	68	26
foul	0	5
total	270	78

Result

Final score

270 – 78

Prediction correct · off by 48.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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