Qualification · Qualification 64
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
205.11 – 20.98
91%9%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
289 – 88
Prediction correct · off by 75.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 519 ±10.7
Season APEX 49.4Event APEX 12.43Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 240.9Event APEX 79.35Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 113.33Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 130.6 ±13.9
Season APEX 27.2Event APEX 1.37Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 24.56Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 47.9Event APEX -4.95Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9071, 868, 1024
84
/ 100 compatProjected
205.1 pts
~2.3 RP (district)
Teams: 9071, 868, 1024
Auto
44.9 23%
Teleop
98.7 49%
Endgame
55.8 28%
Strengths
- · 1024 anchors offense
- · Well-balanced across phases
- · Elite combined APEX
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 9790, 8103, 10411
8
/ 100 compatProjected
21 pts
~0.6 RP (district)
Teams: 9790, 8103, 10411
Auto
8.7 54%
Teleop
-0.3 0%
Endgame
7.6 48%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 48%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.34 · Blue 0.57
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score205.1pts
Blue projected score21pts
Red win probability91%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 48%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 184.1
- Score range
- 0–226
- Upset likelihood
- 9%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
519Season APEX130.6
44.9Auto8.7
98.7Teleop-0.3
55.8Endgame7.6
2Consistency36
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 45 | 13 |
| teleop | 165 | 48 |
| endgame | 59 | 27 |
| foul | 20 | 0 |
| total | 289 | 88 |
Result
Final score
289 – 88
Prediction correct · off by 75.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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