Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

70.25 – 206.33

16%84%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

79 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 41.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 197.7 ±9.8

8430The Hatch Batch

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 26.97Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6498Castle Robotics

Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 38.78Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10434CYBEARS

Season APEX 48Event APEX 4.5Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 482.6 ±9.4

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 182.5Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4926GalacTech

Season APEX 112.5Event APEX 11.47Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4982Olympus Robotics

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 12.36Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8430, 6498, 10434

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.3 pts

~0.7 RP (district)

Teams: 8430, 6498, 10434

Auto

14.0 21%

Teleop

31.7 48%

Endgame

20.2 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7457, 4926, 4982

/ 100 compat

Projected

206.3 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 7457, 4926, 4982

Auto

39.1 19%

Teleop

115.6 57%

Endgame

47.7 24%

Strengths

· 7457 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 33%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.68 · Blue 2.08

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score70.3pts

Blue projected score206.3pts

Red win probability16%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 33%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -136.1
Score range: 49–227
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 211 vs event baseline 117.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

197.7Season APEX482.6

14Auto39.1

31.7Teleop115.6

20.2Endgame47.7

77Consistency87

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	71
teleop	27	48
endgame	23	13
foul	10	0
total	79	132

Result

Final score

79 – 132

Prediction correct · off by 41.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.