Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

102.26 – 129.9

41%59%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

114 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 26.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 325.5 ±11.2

761TechPUPS

Season APEX 212.6Event APEX 46.91Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9119Iron Legends

Season APEX 79.6Event APEX 47.63Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8432Cyber Knights

Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 7.72Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 352 ±10.5

3147Munster Horsepower

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 12.23Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9431Snider Panthers- "The Gold Standard"

Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 57.07Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1720PhyXTGears

Season APEX 211.4Event APEX 60.6Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 761, 9119, 8432

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.3 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 761, 9119, 8432

Auto

24.3 24%

Teleop

55.0 54%

Endgame

22.3 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3147, 9431, 1720

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.9 pts

~1.7 RP (district)

Teams: 3147, 9431, 1720

Auto

23.6 19%

Teleop

82.8 65%

Endgame

21.1 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.29 · Blue 1.71

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score102.3pts

Blue projected score129.9pts

Red win probability41%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -27.6
Score range: 81–151
Upset likelihood: 41%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 286 vs event baseline 117.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

325.5Season APEX352

24.3Auto23.6

55Teleop82.8

22.3Endgame21.1

45Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	23	27
teleop	74	109
endgame	12	36
foul	5	0
total	114	172

Result

Final score

114 – 172

Prediction correct · off by 26.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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