Qualification · Qualification 60

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

36.68 – 132.56

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

109 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 50.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 227.7 ±12.8

1018Pike RoboDevils

Season APEX 74Event APEX 24.78Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

45TechnoKats Robotics Team

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 25Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10411G-Code Generals

Season APEX 47.9Event APEX -13.1Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 275.1 ±9.8

8116Hatchet Robotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 64.56Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1747Harrison Boiler Robotics

Season APEX 88.8Event APEX 44.84Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4580Conductors

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 23.16Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1018, 45, 10411

/ 100 compat

Projected

36.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1018, 45, 10411

Auto

18.1 50%

Teleop

7.0 19%

Endgame

11.2 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8116, 1747, 4580

/ 100 compat

Projected

132.6 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8116, 1747, 4580

Auto

15.7 12%

Teleop

98.9 74%

Endgame

18.7 14%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.92 · Blue 2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score36.7pts

Blue projected score132.6pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -95.9
Score range: 16–154
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 270 vs event baseline 116.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

227.7Season APEX275.1

18.1Auto15.7

7Teleop98.9

11.2Endgame18.7

76Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	28
teleop	50	87
endgame	40	46
foul	0	0
total	109	161

Result

Final score

109 – 161

Prediction correct · off by 50.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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