Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

79.65 – 176.99

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

84 – 300

Prediction correct · off by 63.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 213.8 ±12.8

3487Red Pride Robotics

Season APEX 67Event APEX 22.32Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2171RoboDogs

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 31.39Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4580Conductors

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 25.94Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 541.1 ±9.3

1720PhyXTGears

Season APEX 211.4Event APEX 59.06Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

868TechHOUNDS

Season APEX 240.9Event APEX 74.31Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1747Harrison Boiler Robotics

Season APEX 88.8Event APEX 43.62Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3487, 2171, 4580

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.7 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3487, 2171, 4580

Auto

13.5 21%

Teleop

38.2 59%

Endgame

13.1 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1720, 868, 1747

/ 100 compat

Projected

177 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1720, 868, 1747

Auto

36.8 21%

Teleop

103.0 59%

Endgame

35.6 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.91 · Blue 2.04

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score79.7pts

Blue projected score177pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 46%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -97.3
Score range: 56–201
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 384 vs event baseline 135.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

213.8Season APEX541.1

13.5Auto36.8

38.2Teleop103

13.1Endgame35.6

65Consistency5

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	42
teleop	15	190
endgame	15	68
foul	35	0
total	84	300

Result

Final score

84 – 300

Prediction correct · off by 63.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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