Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

221.82 – 27.1

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

268 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 68.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 508.4 ±9.3

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 110.87Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5010Tiger Dynasty

Season APEX 219Event APEX 94.56Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9491Crypto Creek

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 16.39Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 202.7 ±12.8

3487Red Pride Robotics

Season APEX 67Event APEX 14.37Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4982Olympus Robotics

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 6.07Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3559Thundercats

Season APEX 39.9Event APEX 6.66Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1024, 5010, 9491

/ 100 compat

Projected

221.8 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 1024, 5010, 9491

Auto

46.8 22%

Teleop

113.7 52%

Endgame

56.4 26%

Strengths

· 1024 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3487, 4982, 3559

/ 100 compat

Projected

27.1 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 3487, 4982, 3559

Auto

20.4 90%

Teleop

1.0 4%

Endgame

1.3 6%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.37 · Blue 0.56

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score221.8pts

Blue projected score27.1pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 34%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 194.7
Score range: 6–243
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 386 vs event baseline 116.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

508.4Season APEX202.7

46.8Auto20.4

113.7Teleop1

56.4Endgame1.3

13Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	16
teleop	153	28
endgame	64	54
foul	0	20
total	268	118

Result

Final score

268 – 118

Prediction correct · off by 68.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.