Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

79.73 – 2.49

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

65 – 14

Prediction correct · off by 13.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 262 ±10.4

9491Crypto Creek

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 20.41Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4926GalacTech

Season APEX 112.5Event APEX 13.05Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1747Harrison Boiler Robotics

Season APEX 88.8Event APEX 46.27Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 119.8 ±12.8

3559Thundercats

Season APEX 39.9Event APEX 5.92Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9790Crypto Creek II

Season APEX 27.2Event APEX 0.32Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7657Thunderbots

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX -3.75Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9491, 4926, 1747

/ 100 compat

Projected

79.7 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 9491, 4926, 1747

Auto

12.8 16%

Teleop

48.5 60%

Endgame

20.1 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3559, 9790, 7657

/ 100 compat

Projected

2.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 3559, 9790, 7657

Auto

7.5 0%

Teleop

-7.5 100%

Endgame

-0.2 100%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.77 · Blue 0.92

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score79.7pts

Blue projected score2.5pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 77.2
Score range: -19–101
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 79 vs event baseline 115.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

262Season APEX119.8

12.8Auto7.5

48.5Teleop-7.5

20.1Endgame-0.2

56Consistency13

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	5
teleop	43	7
endgame	10	2
foul	0	0
total	65	14

Result

Final score

65 – 14

Prediction correct · off by 13.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.