Qualification · Qualification 52

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

47.88 – 143.31

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

65 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 11.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 248.1 ±11.7

4982Olympus Robotics

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 1.83Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

45TechnoKats Robotics Team

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 27.41Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8431Robo-Knights

Season APEX 46.5Event APEX 18.64Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 343 ±12.4

3487Red Pride Robotics

Season APEX 67Event APEX 14.83Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10172Apex Archers

Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 16.68Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 111.8Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4982, 45, 8431

/ 100 compat

Projected

47.9 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 4982, 45, 8431

Auto

24.9 50%

Teleop

16.8 34%

Endgame

8.1 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3487, 10172, 1024

/ 100 compat

Projected

143.3 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 3487, 10172, 1024

Auto

39.5 31%

Teleop

64.2 50%

Endgame

25.7 20%

Strengths

· 1024 anchors offense
· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 40%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.91 · Blue 2.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score47.9pts

Blue projected score143.3pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 40%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -95.4
Score range: 27–164
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 215 vs event baseline 115.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

248.1Season APEX343

24.9Auto39.5

16.8Teleop64.2

8.1Endgame25.7

50Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	39
teleop	28	75
endgame	13	36
foul	0	0
total	65	150

Result

Final score

65 – 150

Prediction correct · off by 11.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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