Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

151.89 – 112.72

62%38%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

134 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 47.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 412.5 ±12.4

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 96.53Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8103Knight Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 29.02Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1018Pike RoboDevils

Season APEX 74Event APEX 26.34Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 318.3 ±11.2

10434CYBEARS

Season APEX 48Event APEX 12.16Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1720PhyXTGears

Season APEX 211.4Event APEX 73.82Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5188Area 5188: Classified Robotics

Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 26.74Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10021, 8103, 1018

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.9 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 10021, 8103, 1018

Auto

29.1 19%

Teleop

93.3 62%

Endgame

28.2 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10434, 1720, 5188

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.7 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10434, 1720, 5188

Auto

23.4 22%

Teleop

51.8 48%

Endgame

33.1 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.75 · Blue 1.19

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score151.9pts

Blue projected score112.7pts

Red win probability62%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 39.2
Score range: 92–173
Upset likelihood: 38%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 170 vs event baseline 116.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

412.5Season APEX318.3

29.1Auto23.4

93.3Teleop51.8

28.2Endgame33.1

21Consistency15

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	43	18
teleop	59	11
endgame	27	7
foul	5	0
total	134	36

Result

Final score

134 – 36

Prediction correct · off by 47.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.