Qualification · Qualification 50

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

175.84 – 84.47

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

127 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 29.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 466.9 ±9.3

5010Tiger Dynasty

Season APEX 219Event APEX 97.06Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1741Red Alert

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 11.98Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9431Snider Panthers- "The Gold Standard"

Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 66.8Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 321.5 ±12.4

2171RoboDogs

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 34.85Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

761TechPUPS

Season APEX 212.6Event APEX 47.04Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9071SlicerTech

Season APEX 49.4Event APEX 2.58Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5010, 1741, 9431

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 5010, 1741, 9431

Auto

19.6 11%

Teleop

105.0 61%

Endgame

47.7 28%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2171, 761, 9071

/ 100 compat

Projected

84.5 pts

~0.9 RP (district)

Teams: 2171, 761, 9071

Auto

25.8 37%

Teleop

34.2 49%

Endgame

10.5 15%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.09 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score175.8pts

Blue projected score84.5pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 39%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 91.4
Score range: 63–197
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 222 vs event baseline 116.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

466.9Season APEX321.5

19.6Auto25.8

105Teleop34.2

47.7Endgame10.5

36Consistency96

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	13	19
teleop	44	37
endgame	70	34
foul	0	5
total	127	95

Result

Final score

127 – 95

Prediction correct · off by 29.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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