Qualification · Qualification 48
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
20.73 – 139.67
19%81%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
42 – 83
Prediction correct · off by 39 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 199.5 ±12.2
Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 11.25Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 95.8Event APEX -5.64Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 47.3Event APEX 15.12Rank 23Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 282.3 ±11.2
Season APEX 47.9Event APEX 1.83Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 120.66Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 112.5Event APEX 17.18Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3147, 4982, 10172
7
/ 100 compatProjected
20.7 pts
~0.8 RP (district)
Teams: 3147, 4982, 10172
Auto
19.5 87%
Teleop
4.0 18%
Endgame
-1.2 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 10411, 234, 4926
66
/ 100 compatProjected
139.7 pts
~2.0 RP (district)
Teams: 10411, 234, 4926
Auto
15.0 11%
Teleop
78.4 57%
Endgame
44.7 32%
Strengths
- · 234 anchors offense
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 40%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.81 · Blue 2.02
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score20.7pts
Blue projected score139.7pts
Red win probability19%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 40%, blue 35%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -118.9
- Score range
- 0–161
- Upset likelihood
- 19%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
199.5Season APEX282.3
19.5Auto15
4Teleop78.4
-1.2Endgame44.7
22Consistency80
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 21 | 24 |
| teleop | 12 | 18 |
| endgame | 9 | 41 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 42 | 83 |
Result
Final score
42 – 83
Prediction correct · off by 39 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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