Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

122.56 – 72.37

65%35%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

153 – 177

Prediction missed · off by 67.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 307.8 ±12.4

8103Knight Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 23.82Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8432Cyber Knights

Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 5.84Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5010Tiger Dynasty

Season APEX 219Event APEX 92.9Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 379.7 ±9.8

761TechPUPS

Season APEX 212.6Event APEX 31.22Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6956SHAM-ROCK-BOTICS ☘

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 23.54Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

45TechnoKats Robotics Team

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 17.61Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8103, 8432, 5010

/ 100 compat

Projected

122.6 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8103, 8432, 5010

Auto

25.1 21%

Teleop

61.0 51%

Endgame

33.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 761, 6956, 45

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.4 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 761, 6956, 45

Auto

21.7 33%

Teleop

27.7 42%

Endgame

16.7 25%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 47%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.82 · Blue 1.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score122.6pts

Blue projected score72.4pts

Red win probability65%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 47%, blue 44%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 50.2
Score range: 51–144
Upset likelihood: 35%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 330 vs event baseline 115.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

307.8Season APEX379.7

25.1Auto21.7

61Teleop27.7

33.6Endgame16.7

8Consistency74

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	23
teleop	98	118
endgame	47	36
foul	0	0
total	153	177

Result

Final score

153 – 177

Prediction missed · off by 67.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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