Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

111.45 – 129.03

45%55%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

182 – 155

Prediction missed · off by 48.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 223.3 ±11.7

9431Snider Panthers- "The Gold Standard"

Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 62.48Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2171RoboDogs

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 24.26Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9119Iron Legends

Season APEX 79.6Event APEX 24.71Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 230.6 ±9.8

234Cyber Blue

Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 118.67Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9491Crypto Creek

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 6.37Rank 22Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10434CYBEARS

Season APEX 48Event APEX 3.99Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9431, 2171, 9119

/ 100 compat

Projected

111.5 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 9431, 2171, 9119

Auto

18.3 19%

Teleop

59.7 62%

Endgame

18.4 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 234, 9491, 10434

/ 100 compat

Projected

129 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 234, 9491, 10434

Auto

19.4 15%

Teleop

77.1 58%

Endgame

36.8 28%

Strengths

· 234 anchors offense

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.42 · Blue 1.52

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score111.5pts

Blue projected score129pts

Red win probability45%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -17.6
Score range: 90–150
Upset likelihood: 45%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 337 vs event baseline 116.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

223.3Season APEX230.6

18.3Auto19.4

59.7Teleop77.1

18.4Endgame36.8

75Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	17
teleop	124	82
endgame	34	56
foul	5	0
total	182	155

Result

Final score

182 – 155

Prediction missed · off by 48.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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