Qualification · Qualification 42
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
62 – 98.52
39%61%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
36 – 107
Prediction correct · off by 17.2 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 240.1 ±11.6
Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 13.81Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 27.46Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 112.5Event APEX 20.73Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 373.9 ±11.2
Season APEX 74Event APEX 32.61Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 212.6Event APEX 29.69Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 36.22Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 3147, 292, 4926
47
/ 100 compatProjected
62 pts
~1.1 RP (district)
Teams: 3147, 292, 4926
Auto
11.3 19%
Teleop
28.2 49%
Endgame
18.6 32%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1018, 761, 4580
55
/ 100 compatProjected
98.5 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 1018, 761, 4580
Auto
26.9 27%
Teleop
57.1 57%
Endgame
17.0 17%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 27%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.09 · Blue 1.68
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score62pts
Blue projected score98.5pts
Red win probability39%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 27%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -36.5
- Score range
- 41–120
- Upset likelihood
- 39%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
240.1Season APEX373.9
11.3Auto26.9
28.2Teleop57.1
18.6Endgame17
95Consistency60
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 9 | 27 |
| teleop | 12 | 41 |
| endgame | 15 | 24 |
| foul | 0 | 15 |
| total | 36 | 107 |
Result
Final score
36 – 107
Prediction correct · off by 17.2 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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