Qualification · Qualification 40
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
24.92 – 65.95
38%62%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
54 – 87
Prediction correct · off by 25.1 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 222.2 ±12.8
Season APEX 49.4Event APEX -5.35Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 67Event APEX 16.54Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 13.73Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 178.2 ±12.8
Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 4.02Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 98.4Event APEX 45.66Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 46.5Event APEX 16.27Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9071, 3487, 45
13
/ 100 compatProjected
24.9 pts
~1.2 RP (district)
Teams: 9071, 3487, 45
Auto
13.7 73%
Teleop
10.8 57%
Endgame
-5.7 0%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Thin endgame coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 8432, 6498, 8431
43
/ 100 compatProjected
65.9 pts
~1.7 RP (district)
Teams: 8432, 6498, 8431
Auto
19.6 33%
Teleop
25.1 42%
Endgame
15.6 26%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.16 · Blue 1.71
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score24.9pts
Blue projected score65.9pts
Red win probability38%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 42%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -41
- Score range
- 4–87
- Upset likelihood
- 38%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
222.2Season APEX178.2
13.7Auto19.6
10.8Teleop25.1
-5.7Endgame15.6
88Consistency23
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 11 | 13 |
| teleop | 12 | 43 |
| endgame | 31 | 31 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 54 | 87 |
Result
Final score
54 – 87
Prediction correct · off by 25.1 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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