Qualification · Qualification 34

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

142.01 – 49.32

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

169 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 26.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 451.9 ±10.7

1741Red Alert

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 19.2Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2171RoboDogs

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX 21.92Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 100.89Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 194.6 ±13.3

292PantherTech

Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 25.85Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1018Pike RoboDevils

Season APEX 74Event APEX 33.31Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9071SlicerTech

Season APEX 49.4Event APEX -9.84Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1741, 2171, 1024

/ 100 compat

Projected

142 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1741, 2171, 1024

Auto

27.2 22%

Teleop

59.1 48%

Endgame

36.3 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 292, 1018, 9071

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.3 pts

~0.8 RP (district)

Teams: 292, 1018, 9071

Auto

14.1 27%

Teleop

28.6 56%

Endgame

8.8 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.05 · Blue 0.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score142pts

Blue projected score49.3pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 92.7
Score range: 28–163
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 245 vs event baseline 114.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

451.9Season APEX194.6

27.2Auto14.1

59.1Teleop28.6

36.3Endgame8.8

71Consistency65

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	50	20
teleop	70	32
endgame	19	24
foul	30	0
total	169	76

Result

Final score

169 – 76

Prediction correct · off by 26.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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