Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

25.38 – 218.74

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

15 – 373

Prediction correct · off by 82.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 184.3 ±11.7

6956SHAM-ROCK-BOTICS ☘

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 41.07Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4982Olympus Robotics

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX -9.11Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9790Crypto Creek II

Season APEX 27.2Event APEX -6.58Rank 28Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 436.1 ±10.2

234Cyber Blue

Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 96.38Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 121.45Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3559Thundercats

Season APEX 39.9Event APEX 0.91Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6956, 4982, 9790

/ 100 compat

Projected

25.4 pts

~0.6 RP (district)

Teams: 6956, 4982, 9790

Auto

12.7 79%

Teleop

3.5 22%

Endgame

-0.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 234, 7457, 3559

/ 100 compat

Projected

218.7 pts

~2.4 RP (district)

Teams: 234, 7457, 3559

Auto

19.7 9%

Teleop

151.5 66%

Endgame

56.9 25%

Strengths

· 7457 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.55 · Blue 2.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score25.4pts

Blue projected score218.7pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 50%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -193.4
Score range: 5–239
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 388 vs event baseline 112.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

184.3Season APEX436.1

12.7Auto19.7

3.5Teleop151.5

-0.1Endgame56.9

97Consistency21

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	10	63
teleop	2	204
endgame	3	106
foul	0	0
total	15	373

Result

Final score

15 – 373

Prediction correct · off by 82.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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