Qualification · Qualification 30

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

114.71 – 202.78

25%75%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

113 – 160

Prediction correct · off by 22.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 449.1 ±10.7

1741Red Alert

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 6.75Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1720PhyXTGears

Season APEX 211.4Event APEX 75.38Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1018Pike RoboDevils

Season APEX 74Event APEX 32.58Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 364.5 ±10.7

8116Hatchet Robotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 83.45Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8431Robo-Knights

Season APEX 46.5Event APEX 21.33Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5010Tiger Dynasty

Season APEX 219Event APEX 98Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1741, 1720, 1018

/ 100 compat

Projected

114.7 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 1741, 1720, 1018

Auto

28.1 24%

Teleop

63.2 53%

Endgame

27.6 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8116, 8431, 5010

/ 100 compat

Projected

202.8 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 8116, 8431, 5010

Auto

24.5 12%

Teleop

130.4 62%

Endgame

54.1 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 0.98 · Blue 2.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score114.7pts

Blue projected score202.8pts

Red win probability25%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -88.1
Score range: 95–223
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

High scoring

Combined score 273 vs event baseline 112.7.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

449.1Season APEX364.5

28.1Auto24.5

63.2Teleop130.4

27.6Endgame54.1

32Consistency91

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	2	16
teleop	62	119
endgame	44	25
foul	5	0
total	113	160

Result

Final score

113 – 160

Prediction correct · off by 22.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.