Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

88.39 – 134.2

36%64%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

69 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 16.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 243.4 ±9.8

4926GalacTech

Season APEX 112.5Event APEX -1.14Rank 25Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8430The Hatch Batch

Season APEX 51.3Event APEX 28.97Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9119Iron Legends

Season APEX 79.6Event APEX 60.56Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 245.5 ±11.7

8103Knight Robotics

Season APEX 55.5Event APEX 32.35Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9431Snider Panthers- "The Gold Standard"

Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 58.88Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

45TechnoKats Robotics Team

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 42.97Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4926, 8430, 9119

/ 100 compat

Projected

88.4 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 4926, 8430, 9119

Auto

16.7 19%

Teleop

41.2 48%

Endgame

28.1 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8103, 9431, 45

/ 100 compat

Projected

134.2 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 8103, 9431, 45

Auto

22.6 17%

Teleop

73.7 56%

Endgame

35.8 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.07 · Blue 1.8

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score88.4pts

Blue projected score134.2pts

Red win probability36%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -45.8
Score range: 64–158
Upset likelihood: 36%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 189 vs event baseline 135.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

243.4Season APEX245.5

16.7Auto22.6

41.2Teleop73.7

28.1Endgame35.8

74Consistency70

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	9	14
teleop	30	76
endgame	30	25
foul	0	5
total	69	120

Result

Final score

69 – 120

Prediction correct · off by 16.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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