Qualification · Qualification 28

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

35.52 – 22.04

54%46%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

13 – 93

Prediction missed · off by 46.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 145.7 ±13.3

9071SlicerTech

Season APEX 49.4Event APEX -6.13Rank 37Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3559Thundercats

Season APEX 39.9Event APEX 8.47Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3147Munster Horsepower

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 33.18Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 217.8 ±12.2

9119Iron Legends

Season APEX 79.6Event APEX 4.31Rank 9Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

292PantherTech

Season APEX 71.2Event APEX 3.89Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3487Red Pride Robotics

Season APEX 67Event APEX 13.84Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9071, 3559, 3147

/ 100 compat

Projected

35.5 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 9071, 3559, 3147

Auto

7.1 20%

Teleop

23.1 64%

Endgame

6.0 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9119, 292, 3487

/ 100 compat

Projected

22 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 9119, 292, 3487

Auto

7.4 76%

Teleop

3.4 35%

Endgame

-1.0 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.5 · Blue 1.27

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score35.5pts

Blue projected score22pts

Red win probability54%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 13.5
Score range: 1–57
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 106 vs event baseline 115.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

145.7Season APEX217.8

7.1Auto7.4

23.1Teleop3.4

6Endgame-1

75Consistency103

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	4	22
teleop	5	59
endgame	4	12
foul	0	0
total	13	93

Result

Final score

13 – 93

Prediction missed · off by 46.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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