Qualification · Qualification 25

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

113.81 – 193.24

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

127 – 206

Prediction correct · off by 13 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 219.8 ±11.2

6956SHAM-ROCK-BOTICS ☘

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 52.63Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8116Hatchet Robotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 73.81Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2171RoboDogs

Season APEX 59.5Event APEX -12.63Rank 33Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 408.1 ±10.8

8431Robo-Knights

Season APEX 46.5Event APEX 14.13Rank 18Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4580Conductors

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 63.09Rank 16Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 116.02Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6956, 8116, 2171

/ 100 compat

Projected

113.8 pts

~1.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6956, 8116, 2171

Auto

1.2 1%

Teleop

58.2 67%

Endgame

28.0 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8431, 4580, 7457

/ 100 compat

Projected

193.2 pts

~2.0 RP (district)

Teams: 8431, 4580, 7457

Auto

29.2 15%

Teleop

120.7 62%

Endgame

46.2 24%

Strengths

· 7457 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.08 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score113.8pts

Blue projected score193.2pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -79.4
Score range: 94–213
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 333 vs event baseline 113.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

219.8Season APEX408.1

1.2Auto29.2

58.2Teleop120.7

28Endgame46.2

150Consistency87

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	14	34
teleop	79	119
endgame	34	53
foul	0	0
total	127	206

Result

Final score

127 – 206

Prediction correct · off by 13 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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