Qualification · Qualification 24

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

74.07 – 99.99

42%58%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

108 – 105

Prediction missed · off by 19.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 357.1 ±11.2

3559Thundercats

Season APEX 39.9Event APEX 9.77Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

45TechnoKats Robotics Team

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX -3.16Rank 12Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1720PhyXTGears

Season APEX 211.4Event APEX 67.46Rank 10Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 254 ±11.7

4982Olympus Robotics

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX -14.01Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1018Pike RoboDevils

Season APEX 74Event APEX 36.37Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9431Snider Panthers- "The Gold Standard"

Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 77.63Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 3559, 45, 1720

/ 100 compat

Projected

74.1 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 3559, 45, 1720

Auto

21.2 31%

Teleop

43.8 65%

Endgame

2.9 4%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4982, 1018, 9431

/ 100 compat

Projected

100 pts

~1.6 RP (district)

Teams: 4982, 1018, 9431

Auto

29.9 30%

Teleop

52.4 53%

Endgame

17.5 18%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.62

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score74.1pts

Blue projected score100pts

Red win probability42%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -25.9
Score range: 54–120
Upset likelihood: 42%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 213 vs event baseline 113.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

357.1Season APEX254

21.2Auto29.9

43.8Teleop52.4

2.9Endgame17.5

29Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	29
teleop	64	64
endgame	22	12
foul	0	0
total	108	105

Result

Final score

108 – 105

Prediction missed · off by 19.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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