Qualification · Qualification 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

233.11 – 142.93

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

289 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 34.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 394.5 ±10.8

6956SHAM-ROCK-BOTICS ☘

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 30.65Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 183.31Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5188Area 5188: Classified Robotics

Season APEX 58.9Event APEX 19.15Rank 27Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 323.3 ±11.7

5010Tiger Dynasty

Season APEX 219Event APEX 119.99Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3147Munster Horsepower

Season APEX 56.4Event APEX 25.64Rank 14Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10411G-Code Generals

Season APEX 47.9Event APEX -2.7Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6956, 7457, 5188

/ 100 compat

Projected

233.1 pts

~2.1 RP (district)

Teams: 6956, 7457, 5188

Auto

37.8 16%

Teleop

141.2 60%

Endgame

55.2 24%

Strengths

· 7457 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5010, 3147, 10411

/ 100 compat

Projected

142.9 pts

~1.0 RP (district)

Teams: 5010, 3147, 10411

Auto

18.8 13%

Teleop

78.8 54%

Endgame

47.5 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 50%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 2.06 · Blue 1.01

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score233.1pts

Blue projected score142.9pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 50%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 90.2
Score range: 119–257
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 445 vs event baseline 135.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

394.5Season APEX323.3

37.8Auto18.8

141.2Teleop78.8

55.2Endgame47.5

0Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	35
teleop	180	76
endgame	72	45
foul	0	0
total	289	156

Result

Final score

289 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 34.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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