Qualification · Qualification 18

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

96.77 – 105.96

47%53%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

84 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 16.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 354.1 ±9.8

1747Harrison Boiler Robotics

Season APEX 88.8Event APEX 65.35Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

761TechPUPS

Season APEX 212.6Event APEX 30.84Rank 13Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7657Thunderbots

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 0.58Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 186.9 ±11.2

3559Thundercats

Season APEX 39.9Event APEX -0.62Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10434CYBEARS

Season APEX 48Event APEX 36.92Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8116Hatchet Robotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 69.66Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1747, 761, 7657

/ 100 compat

Projected

96.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district)

Teams: 1747, 761, 7657

Auto

18.0 21%

Teleop

48.1 56%

Endgame

20.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 3559, 10434, 8116

/ 100 compat

Projected

106 pts

~1.5 RP (district)

Teams: 3559, 10434, 8116

Auto

11.6 11%

Teleop

69.3 65%

Endgame

26.3 25%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 34%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.49

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score96.8pts

Blue projected score106pts

Red win probability47%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 34%, blue 37%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -9.2
Score range: 76–127
Upset likelihood: 47%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 211 vs event baseline 119.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

354.1Season APEX186.9

18Auto11.6

48.1Teleop69.3

20.4Endgame26.3

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	12
teleop	55	74
endgame	7	36
foul	0	5
total	84	127

Result

Final score

84 – 127

Prediction correct · off by 16.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.