Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

227.29 – 194.06

60%40%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

329 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 64.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 587.2 ±8.8

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 96.72Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9431Snider Panthers- "The Gold Standard"

Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 62.29Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 68.28Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 557.2 ±10.7

868TechHOUNDS

Season APEX 240.9Event APEX 89.62Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8432Cyber Knights

Season APEX 33.3Event APEX 60.59Rank 29Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 43.85Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7457, 9431, 1024

/ 100 compat

Projected

227.3 pts

~1.8 RP (district)

Teams: 7457, 9431, 1024

Auto

41.7 19%

Teleop

121.5 57%

Endgame

51.0 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 868, 8432, 10021

/ 100 compat

Projected

194.1 pts

~1.4 RP (district)

Teams: 868, 8432, 10021

Auto

32.9 17%

Teleop

111.4 59%

Endgame

45.9 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.83 · Blue 1.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score227.3pts

Blue projected score194.1pts

Red win probability60%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 33.2
Score range: 173–248
Upset likelihood: 40%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 551 vs event baseline 114.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

587.2Season APEX557.2

41.7Auto32.9

121.5Teleop111.4

51Endgame45.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	54	53
teleop	197	126
endgame	73	43
foul	5	0
total	329	222

Result

Final score

329 – 222

Prediction correct · off by 64.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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