Qualification · Qualification 12
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
84.8 – 81.74
51%49%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
172 – 30
Prediction correct · off by 69.5 points
Limited current-season data (10 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 415.2 ±9.8
Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 37Rank 5Record 10-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 48Event APEX 23.25Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 283Event APEX 24.55Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 283.4 ±11.2
Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 28.58Rank 34Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 67Event APEX 21.68Rank 19Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 31.48Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 9431, 10434, 10021
57
/ 100 compatProjected
84.8 pts
~1.5 RP (district)
Teams: 9431, 10434, 10021
Auto
15.4 17%
Teleop
54.4 61%
Endgame
19.4 22%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 7657, 3487, 1741
54
/ 100 compatProjected
81.7 pts
~1.4 RP (district)
Teams: 7657, 3487, 1741
Auto
8.0 11%
Teleop
46.0 61%
Endgame
21.0 28%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 44%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.5 · Blue 1.38
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setDistrict
Red projected score84.8pts
Blue projected score81.7pts
Red win probability51%
Event bonus sample178alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 44%, blue 36%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 3.1
- Score range
- 62–105
- Upset likelihood
- 49%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
415.2Season APEX283.4
15.4Auto8
54.4Teleop46
19.4Endgame21
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 33 | 9 |
| teleop | 76 | 4 |
| endgame | 48 | 2 |
| foul | 15 | 15 |
| total | 172 | 30 |
Result
Final score
172 – 30
Prediction correct · off by 69.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.