Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

306.52 – 248.76

67%33%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

321 – 299

Prediction correct · off by 32.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 598.8 ±8.8

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 116.83Rank 2Record 11-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4982Olympus Robotics

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 6.82Rank 24Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 182.87Rank 1Record 12-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 550 ±9.3

10434CYBEARS

Season APEX 48Event APEX 20.51Rank 26Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 110.09Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5010Tiger Dynasty

Season APEX 219Event APEX 118.16Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1024, 4982, 7457

/ 100 compat

Projected

306.5 pts

~1.9 RP (district)

Teams: 1024, 4982, 7457

Auto

88.4 30%

Teleop

159.2 53%

Endgame

51.0 17%

Strengths

· 7457 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10434, 10021, 5010

/ 100 compat

Projected

248.8 pts

~1.2 RP (district)

Teams: 10434, 10021, 5010

Auto

33.9 14%

Teleop

134.6 56%

Endgame

73.7 30%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district)Red 1.87 · Blue 1.16

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict

Red projected score306.5pts

Blue projected score248.8pts

Red win probability67%

Event bonus sample178alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

District qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus. Awards also feed district points.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 57.8
Score range: 225–331
Upset likelihood: 33%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 620 vs event baseline 133.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

598.8Season APEX550

88.4Auto33.9

159.2Teleop134.6

51Endgame73.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	86	35
teleop	129	159
endgame	71	105
foul	35	0
total	321	299

Result

Final score

321 – 299

Prediction correct · off by 32.4 pts

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