Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

293.03 – 203.49

75%25%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

352 – 240

Prediction correct · off by 47.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 530.9 ±9.3

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 152.87Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

868TechHOUNDS

Season APEX 240.9Event APEX 121.46Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6956SHAM-ROCK-BOTICS ☘

Season APEX 61.3Event APEX 18.7Rank 29Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 388.2 ±9.8

761TechPUPS

Season APEX 212.6Event APEX 127.49Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1747Harrison Boiler Robotics

Season APEX 88.8Event APEX 62.74Rank 31Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2867ElkLogics

Season APEX 86.8Event APEX 13.26Rank 36Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1024, 868, 6956

/ 100 compat

Projected

293 pts

~2.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1024, 868, 6956

Auto

68.0 24%

Teleop

164.3 57%

Endgame

53.6 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 761, 1747, 2867

/ 100 compat

Projected

203.5 pts

~1.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 761, 1747, 2867

Auto

51.2 26%

Teleop

79.7 40%

Endgame

69.1 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 46%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.1 · Blue 1.02

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score293pts

Blue projected score203.5pts

Red win probability75%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 46%, blue 42%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 89.5
Score range: 154–342
Upset likelihood: 25%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 592 vs event baseline 271.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

530.9Season APEX388.2

68Auto51.2

164.3Teleop79.7

53.6Endgame69.1

128Consistency134

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	88	65
teleop	180	101
endgame	74	74
foul	10	0
total	352	240

Result

Final score

352 – 240

Prediction correct · off by 47.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.