Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

355.91 – 236.18

82%18%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

403 – 251

Prediction correct · off by 31 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 613.1 ±9.3

1646Precision Guessworks

Season APEX 158.3Event APEX 54.36Rank 28Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4272Maverick Robotics

Season APEX 235.8Event APEX 180.91Rank 1Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5010Tiger Dynasty

Season APEX 219Event APEX 120.64Rank 15Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 343.6 ±9.8

1720PhyXTGears

Season APEX 211.4Event APEX 155.39Rank 8Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9431Snider Panthers- "The Gold Standard"

Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 51.93Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10434CYBEARS

Season APEX 48Event APEX 28.86Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1646, 4272, 5010

/ 100 compat

Projected

355.9 pts

~2.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1646, 4272, 5010

Auto

60.4 18%

Teleop

176.1 51%

Endgame

106.3 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1720, 9431, 10434

/ 100 compat

Projected

236.2 pts

~1.0 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1720, 9431, 10434

Auto

39.6 17%

Teleop

144.6 61%

Endgame

51.6 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 48%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.33 · Blue 1.03

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score355.9pts

Blue projected score236.2pts

Red win probability82%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 48%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 119.7
Score range: 186–406
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 654 vs event baseline 280.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

613.1Season APEX343.6

60.4Auto39.6

176.1Teleop144.6

106.3Endgame51.6

122Consistency128

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	15
teleop	242	135
endgame	96	101
foul	10	0
total	403	251

Result

Final score

403 – 251

Prediction correct · off by 31 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.