Qualification · Qualification 53

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

236.05 – 301.97

31%69%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

269 – 460

Prediction correct · off by 95.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 293.4 ±9.8

234Cyber Blue

Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 101.24Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7617RoboBlazers

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 53.34Rank 18Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9119Iron Legends

Season APEX 79.6Event APEX 81.47Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 561.1 ±9.3

868TechHOUNDS

Season APEX 240.9Event APEX 98.67Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

45TechnoKats Robotics Team

Season APEX 105.8Event APEX 102.52Rank 9Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1501Team THRUST

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 100.78Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 234, 7617, 9119

/ 100 compat

Projected

236.1 pts

~1.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 234, 7617, 9119

Auto

38.9 17%

Teleop

133.9 59%

Endgame

53.5 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 868, 45, 1501

/ 100 compat

Projected

302 pts

~2.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 868, 45, 1501

Auto

33.7 11%

Teleop

182.6 61%

Endgame

85.2 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 13%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.19 · Blue 2.09

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score236.1pts

Blue projected score302pts

Red win probability31%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 53%

Supercharged bonusred 13%, blue 16%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -65.9
Score range: 188–350
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 729 vs event baseline 267.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

293.4Season APEX561.1

38.9Auto33.7

133.9Teleop182.6

53.5Endgame85.2

105Consistency116

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	41	88
teleop	165	297
endgame	63	75
foul	0	0
total	269	460

Result

Final score

269 – 460

Prediction correct · off by 95.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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