Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

271.8 – 344.18

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

225 – 445

Prediction correct · off by 73.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 282.8 ±10.4

6721Tindley Trailblazers

Season APEX 122.3Event APEX 118.88Rank 19Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10434CYBEARS

Season APEX 48Event APEX 24.1Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4926GalacTech

Season APEX 112.5Event APEX 128.82Rank 21Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 623.5 ±8.8

7457suPURDUEper Robotics

Season APEX 274.3Event APEX 114.84Rank 2Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1024Kil-A-Bytes

Season APEX 228.7Event APEX 148.05Rank 7Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5402Wreckless Robotics

Season APEX 120.5Event APEX 81.29Rank 13Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6721, 10434, 4926

/ 100 compat

Projected

271.8 pts

~1.3 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 6721, 10434, 4926

Auto

61.8 23%

Teleop

142.0 52%

Endgame

67.4 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7457, 1024, 5402

/ 100 compat

Projected

344.2 pts

~2.1 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 7457, 1024, 5402

Auto

77.2 23%

Teleop

205.0 61%

Endgame

56.5 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.25 · Blue 2.1

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score271.8pts

Blue projected score344.2pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 19%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -72.4
Score range: 224–392
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 670 vs event baseline 267.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

282.8Season APEX623.5

61.8Auto77.2

142Teleop205

67.4Endgame56.5

132Consistency121

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	42	132
teleop	105	261
endgame	78	52
foul	0	0
total	225	445

Result

Final score

225 – 445

Prediction correct · off by 73.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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