Qualification · Qualification 49

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

178.29 – 257.67

27%73%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

253 – 396

Prediction correct · off by 106.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 258.8 ±9.8

234Cyber Blue

Season APEX 121.9Event APEX 95.46Rank 20Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7657Thunderbots

Season APEX 52.7Event APEX 44.44Rank 35Record 3-9-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9431Snider Panthers- "The Gold Standard"

Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 38.39Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 399.9 ±9.8

9119Iron Legends

Season APEX 79.6Event APEX 63.77Rank 32Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3494The Quadrangles

Season APEX 203.5Event APEX 80.44Rank 11Record 7-5-0Status establishedConfidence 100

829The Digital Goats

Season APEX 116.8Event APEX 113.46Rank 14Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 234, 7657, 9431

/ 100 compat

Projected

178.3 pts

~1.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 234, 7657, 9431

Auto

34.2 19%

Teleop

106.3 59%

Endgame

40.4 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9119, 3494, 829

/ 100 compat

Projected

257.7 pts

~2.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9119, 3494, 829

Auto

52.4 21%

Teleop

154.7 61%

Endgame

48.3 19%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.19 · Blue 2.18

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score178.3pts

Blue projected score257.7pts

Red win probability27%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 48%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 23%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -79.4
Score range: 130–306
Upset likelihood: 27%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 649 vs event baseline 264.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

258.8Season APEX399.9

34.2Auto52.4

106.3Teleop154.7

40.4Endgame48.3

138Consistency56

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	34	87
teleop	139	231
endgame	80	78
foul	0	0
total	253	396

Result

Final score

253 – 396

Prediction correct · off by 106.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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