Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

351.01 – 251.98

77%23%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

286 – 303

Prediction missed · off by 58 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 407.4 ±9.3

4982Olympus Robotics

Season APEX 95.8Event APEX 108.26Rank 17Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

761TechPUPS

Season APEX 212.6Event APEX 122.99Rank 5Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8116Hatchet Robotics

Season APEX 99Event APEX 119.76Rank 27Record 5-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 450.4 ±9.8

9431Snider Panthers- "The Gold Standard"

Season APEX 84.2Event APEX 32.66Rank 30Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

461Westside Boiler Invasion

Season APEX 151.8Event APEX 99.81Rank 4Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1501Team THRUST

Season APEX 214.4Event APEX 119.51Rank 6Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4982, 761, 8116

/ 100 compat

Projected

351 pts

~2.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 4982, 761, 8116

Auto

50.9 14%

Teleop

207.4 59%

Endgame

94.0 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9431, 461, 1501

/ 100 compat

Projected

252 pts

~1.2 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 9431, 461, 1501

Auto

21.2 9%

Teleop

135.7 55%

Endgame

89.3 36%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 51%

Supercharged: 15%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 2.23 · Blue 1.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score351pts

Blue projected score252pts

Red win probability77%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 51%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 15%, blue 17%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 99
Score range: 204–399
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 589 vs event baseline 266.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

407.4Season APEX450.4

50.9Auto21.2

207.4Teleop135.7

94Endgame89.3

103Consistency98

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	45	59
teleop	145	176
endgame	91	68
foul	5	0
total	286	303

Result

Final score

286 – 303

Prediction missed · off by 58 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.