Qualification · Qualification 37

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

250.57 – 252.1

50%50%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

329 – 141

Prediction missed · off by 94.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 571.9 ±9.3

10434CYBEARS

Season APEX 48Event APEX 5.52Rank 33Record 4-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

868TechHOUNDS

Season APEX 240.9Event APEX 94.77Rank 10Record 8-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10021Guerin Catholic Golden Gears

Season APEX 283Event APEX 150.28Rank 3Record 9-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 315 ±9.3

1741Red Alert

Season APEX 163.7Event APEX 89.62Rank 26Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5484Career Academy Robotics - Wolf Pack

Season APEX 64Event APEX 90.51Rank 37Record 2-10-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4580Conductors

Season APEX 87.3Event APEX 71.97Rank 24Record 6-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10434, 868, 10021

/ 100 compat

Projected

250.6 pts

~1.6 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 10434, 868, 10021

Auto

60.6 25%

Teleop

122.7 51%

Endgame

55.4 23%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1741, 5484, 4580

/ 100 compat

Projected

252.1 pts

~1.5 RP (district-cmp)

Teams: 1741, 5484, 4580

Auto

13.8 6%

Teleop

150.6 61%

Endgame

80.9 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 49%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (district-cmp)Red 1.59 · Blue 1.47

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setDistrict Championship

Red projected score250.6pts

Blue projected score252.1pts

Red win probability50%

Event bonus sample184alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 49%, blue 36%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Deeper field: bonus rates typically drop vs. regionals.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -1.5
Score range: 203–300
Upset likelihood: 50%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 470 vs event baseline 266.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

571.9Season APEX315

60.6Auto13.8

122.7Teleop150.6

55.4Endgame80.9

147Consistency97

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	26
teleop	148	66
endgame	132	49
foul	0	0
total	329	141

Result

Final score

329 – 141

Prediction missed · off by 94.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.